Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
75 Harvard 8.8%   21 - 6 12 - 2 21 - 6 12 - 2 +6.6      +3.5 75 +3.2 75 63.9 267 +9.4 52 +8.8 2
84 Princeton 100.0%   13   24 - 6 12 - 2 24 - 6 12 - 2 +5.5      +2.7 84 +2.8 83 63.2 283 +8.9 59 +9.1 1
177 Penn 0.0%   13 - 15 7 - 7 13 - 15 7 - 7 -0.9      -0.4 178 -0.4 177 62.4 300 -1.5 188 -1.2 4
182 Yale 0.0%   14 - 13 8 - 6 14 - 13 8 - 6 -1.1      -0.6 189 -0.5 179 67.6 180 -0.4 171 +0.8 3
189 Cornell 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 8 10 - 18 6 - 8 -1.4      -0.6 188 -0.8 192 69.4 138 -4.1 227 -3.1 6
212 Columbia 0.0%   14 - 13 6 - 8 14 - 13 6 - 8 -2.9      -1.5 215 -1.4 212 72.5 66 -1.7 192 -2.8 5
238 Brown 0.0%   10 - 17 4 - 10 10 - 17 4 - 10 -4.4      -2.1 236 -2.3 240 73.3 58 -5.3 251 -6.7 7
321 Dartmouth 0.0%   5 - 23 1 - 13 5 - 23 1 - 13 -11.2      -5.7 322 -5.5 320 66.3 218 -10.6 315 -14.8 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Harvard 1.0 100.0
Princeton 1.0 100.0
Penn 4.0 100.0
Yale 3.0 100.0
Cornell 5.0 100.0
Columbia 5.0 100.0
Brown 7.0 100.0
Dartmouth 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Harvard 12 - 2 100.0
Princeton 12 - 2 100.0
Penn 7 - 7 100.0
Yale 8 - 6 100.0
Cornell 6 - 8 100.0
Columbia 6 - 8 100.0
Brown 4 - 10 100.0
Dartmouth 1 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Harvard 100.0% 100.0
Princeton 100.0% 100.0
Penn
Yale
Cornell
Columbia
Brown
Dartmouth


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Harvard 8.8% 0.0% 8.8% 0.0 0.1 6.5 2.2 91.2 8.8%
Princeton 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.1 4.7 86.8 8.4 0.0
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Harvard 8.8% 8.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 16.1% 4.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 91.2 8.8
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 96.4 3.6
2nd Round 16.8% 0.2 83.2 16.7 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 4.4% 0.0 95.6 4.4 0.0
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0